???? ???? ????? ??????? ?????? ???????: ??? ????? ??????? ?????????

???????? ???? ????? 12 ?? ????? ??????? ????????? ???? ??????? ?????? ?????? ??????? ??? ??????? ?????? ??????? ?????? ????? ??????? ??? ???? ????? ??????? ?????? ???????. ??? ???? ???? ??? ?????? ??????? ??????????

????? ????????? ???????? ??????????

???????? ????? ??? 2050? ???? ??? ???? ?????? ??? 9.5 ?????? ????? ?????? 70 ?? ?????? ???? ?????? ?? ????? ????? ?????? ??????? ??????. ?????? ????? ?????? ?? ?????????? ?? ?????? ?????? ??? ???????? ??????? ????? ??? 2040. ??????? ?? ?? ?? ????? ?????? ?? 1.25 ????? ?? ??????? ???????? ??????? ?? ????? ??? 2010 ??? ?? ??? ???? ??? 1990? ?? ???? 1.2 ????? ??? ?????? ?? ??? ????(2). ??? ??? ????????? ???? ???????? ?? ???? ?????? ??????????? ??????? ?????? ??? ?????? ????? ????????? ???????? ????????? ???? ?????? ????? ???? ?? ???? ????? ??????? ??????? ???? ??????? ?? ????????.

???????? ??? ???? ??????? ?????? ???? ??? ??????? ???????? ??? ??? 2002. ????? ?? ?? ??? ????????? ?????? ????? ????? ????? ??????? ??????? ????????? ???? 2002 ???????? ???????? ?????? ??? + 20 ?? ??? 2012 "???????? ???? ???? ????"? ??? "?????? ??? ????? ?????? ????? ????????? ???????? ??? ????????? ?????? ????? ????????? ???????? ????????? ?????? ????? ??????? ???????? ??????? ??????? ?????????? ??????????? ???????? ?? ????? ??????? ???????? ?? ??????? ????????? ??????? ???????? ????????"(3).

???????? ??????? ???? ????? ??? ????? 12 ??? ????? ??????? ????????? ???????? ?????? ?????? ??????? ??????? ????????? ???????? ?????????? ?? ??????? ?????????. ????? ????? ???? ?? 12 ?? ??????? ?????? ??????? ????????? ??? ????? ????? ??????? ?????? ???????.

???????? ???? ???? ???????? ??????? ?????? ??????? ?????? ???? ??????? ??? ??? ??? 2015? ???? ???? ?????? ????? ????? ??????? ??? 2013? ????????? ???????? ?????????? ?????????? ??? ???????? ??????? ???????? ???? ?? ?? ?? ????? ???? ???? ?? ??? ????? ?????? ??? ??? ??? 2015 ???: "????? ????? ?????? ????? ??????... ???? ??????? ???????? ?????? ???????? ??????"(4). ????? ?????? ?????? ??????? ?? ????? ?????????? ?? ??? ????? ??????? ?????? ????? ?????? ?????? ????? ????? ????? ??? ????? ????????? ???????? ?????????(5). ??? ??? ?????? ??? ?? ????? ????????? ???????? ?? ?????? ????? ?? ????? ?????? ???? ??????? ???????? ???? ?? ?????? ?? ??? ?? ????? ???? ?? ???? ??? ??? ?? ???? ????? ????????? ?????????? ??????????? ???????? ???(6).

???????? ??????? ?? ????????? ???????? ?????????? ???????? ????????? ??????? ??????? ??????? ??????? ???????? ???????? ???? ???? ???? ?? ???????? ??????? ?????????? ??????????? ???????? ??????? ?????????? ???? ??? ??? ?????? ???????. ????? ????? ????????? ???????? ???? ???????? ???????? ???? ??????? ??????? ???? ???? ???? ??? ??????? ??? ????? ??????? ?????? ????? ?????? ?????????? ?????? ???? ??????? ??? ?????? ??????????? ???? ??????. ?????? ?????? ??? ????? ????????? ???????? ????????? ??? ????? ??????? ?????????? ??? ??? ????? ??????? ????? ???? ????????? ???? ???? ????? ??????.

???????? ????? ????? 12 ????????? ???????? ?????????? ????? ????? ????????? ???????? ????????? ?? ??????? ??????

???????? ???? ????? 12 ?? ????? ??????? ????????? ??? ?? ??????? ?? ??????? ?????? ??????? ???????? (?????? 12-2) ??????? ??????? ??? ????? ???????? (?????? 12-5)? ?????? ????????? ??? ???? ?????? ?????????? (?????? 12-4). ?????? ??? ????? ???? ?????? ??????? ?? ??? ??????? ?? ??????? ?????????? ??? ?? ??? ?????? ????? (?????? 12-6). ????? ????? ???? ????? ????? ????????? ?????????? ???????? ???? ??????? ?????? ?????? ????????? (?????? 12-8). ??? ???? ????? ??? ?????? ????? ?? ???? ??????? ?????? ??????? ????????? (?????? 12-7)? ???? ?? ?????? ??? ????????? ???????? ?????????? ?? ?????? ??????? (?????? 12-3) ??????? ??????? (?????? 12-?). ????? ????? ???? ??? ?????? ??? ??? ?????? ????????? ???????? ?????????? ?? ???? ????? ?????? ?????? ?????? ????????? ???????? ?????????? (?????? 12-1)? ?? ??? ????? ??????? ????? ??????? (?????? 12- ?) ?????????? ????? ???????? ??? ?? ??? ?? ???? ?????? ?????? ?????? ???????? (?????? 12-?).

???????? ????? ?? ?? ????????? ???????? ?? ??? ???????? ???????. ???? ????? ??????? ?????????? ??? ????????? ??????? ???? ??? ????? ???????? ????? ??????? ???? ???????? ??????? ???????? ???????? ?????? ?? ????? ????? ???????????. ?????? ????? ????? ??????? ?????????? ???????? ?????????? ???? ???? ?????? ????? ????? ???? ?????? ???????? ??????? ???????? ??????? ???? ?? ??????? ?? ???? ???? ??????.

?? ?? ????? ????????? ???????? ???????????

???????? ?? ??? ??? ????? ??? ???? ??????? ?? ????? ??? ???????? ??????? ???????? ??????????. ????? ??? ????? ????? ??????? ?????? ??????? ????? ????? ?? ??? ??????? ??????????? ????? ?? ???? ??????? ??????? ?? ???? ?????? ??????????? ??????? ?? ?????? ???? ??????? ???????.

???????? ????? ????????? ???????? ?????????? ????? ?????? ?????? ???? ?????? ???. ??? ????? "???????? ??????? ????????? ??? ?????? ???? ???? ?????????? ???????? ????? ???? ???? ???? ?? ??????? ??? ???? ?? ?? ??????? ??????? ???????? ??????? ??????? ???? ?? ???????? ???????? ????????? ??? ??? ???? ???? ?????? ?? ??????? ??? ?? ????? ???????? ??????? ??????? ?????"(7).

???????? ????? ????????? ???????? ?????????? ????? ????? ??????? ?? ????? ??? ????? ??? ????? ????????? ?? ??? ?????? ??????? ??????? ???????? ?????? ?? ??? ????? ???? ???? ????? "?????? ?????? ???". ??????? ??? ????? ?? ???? ??? ????? ??????? ??????? ?????????? ??????? ??????/?????? ????? ?? ?????????? ????????? ??????? ?? ????????? ???????? ?????????? ??????? ?? ????????. ?????? ???????? ????? ?????? ??? ???? ?????? ????? ???? ?????? ????????? ???????? ??????????? ????? ??????? ??????? ??? ?? ?? ????? ?????? ??? ???????? ?????????? ????? ????? ????? ??? ????? ????? ???? ???? ????????.

??? ???? ????? ????????? ???????? ???????????

???????? ?????? ?????? ?????? ?????? ????????? ???????? ?????????? ?? ????? ??? + 20? ??? ???? ????? ??????? ????? ??????? ???? ??? ?????? ??? ????????? ???????? ??????????. ?????? ??? ?????? ?????? ??????? ?????? ?? ??? ??????? ??????? ??? ????? ????????? ???????? ????????? ?? ??????? ???????? ???????? ??????? ??? ?? ????? ???? ????? ????? ??? ???????? ???????? ??????? ???? ?????????? ?????????? ???????. ??????? ??????? ????? ??????? ?????? ?????? ??? ?? ???: ??????? ?????????? ??? ?? ??? ??????? ???????? ?????? ????? ???????? ?????????? ???????? ?????? ??????? ?????????? ?????? ????????? ??????????? ???????? ??????? ??????? ?????????? ???? ??????? ?????????. ?????? ????? ?????? ?????? ???????? ?????? 12-1 ?? ???? ??? ????????? ???????? ??????????.

???????? ??? ??????? ???? ????? 12 ?????? ?????? ????? ??????? ?????????? ???? ???? ?? ????? ?????? ???? ??? ??? ?? ???? ??????? ?????????. ??? ??? ?????? ??? ????? ????????? ???????? ????????? ?????? ?? ???? ?? ????? ??????? ??? ????? ???? ??? ??????? ????????? ??? ?? ???? ?????? ?????? ????? ?? ????????? ????????? ??????? ?????? ??????.

?

???????

1?? ????? ?????? ?????????? ???????????? ???? ??????? ???????? ???????? ????????: ????? ??? 2012. ?????? 1? (ST/ESA/SER.A/336) ??????? ?????? (ST/ESA/SER.A/345)? (???????? ??????? ????? ???????? 2013).

2?? World Bank and the International Monetary Fund, Global Monitoring Report 2013: Rural-Urban Dynamics and the Millennium Development Goals (Washington, D.C., 2013), p. xi, 22, 25.

3?? ???? ??????? ?????? ????? ??????? (A/RES/66/288)? 11 ?????/?????? 2012.

4 Communiqué: Meeting of the High-Level Panel of Eminent Persons on the Post-2015 Development Agenda, in Bali, 27 March 2013, p.1. Available from communique%20bali.pdf.

5 Report of the High-level Panel of Eminent Persons on the Post-2015 Development Agenda. A New Global Partnership: Eradicate Poverty and Transform Economies through Sustainable Development (New York, United Nations Publications, 2013)???

6?? ?????? ????.

7?? ????? ?????? ?????????? ???? ????? ???? ????? ????????? ???????? ????????? 1994? ????? ??? ?? ??????? ??????? ??? ???? ???? ????????? ???????? ??????????.